Henry E. Brady

Summary

Henry E. Brady is Dean of the Goldman School of Public Policy and Class of 1941 Monroe Deutsch Professor of Political Science and Public Policy at the University of California, Berkeley.  He received his PhD in Economics and Political Science from MIT in 1980.

He has written on electoral politics and political participation, social welfare policy, political polling, and statistical methodology, and he has worked for the federal Office of Management and Budget and other organizations in Washington, D.C.

He is president of the American Political Science Association, past president of the Political Methodology Society of the American Political Science Association, and director of the University of California’s Survey Research Center from 1998 to 2009

Source: Berkeley webpage

OnAir Post: Henry E. Brady

About

Personal Statement

Henry Brady is coauthor of Letting the People Decide: Dynamics of a Canadian Election (1992) which won the Harold Innis Award for the best book in the social sciences published in English in Canada, Voice and Equality: Civic Voluntarism in American Politics (1995) which won the Philip Converse Award for a book making a lasting contribution to public opinion research, Expensive Children in Poor Families: The Intersection of Childhood Disability and Welfare (2000), and Counting All the Votes: The Performance of Voting Technology in the United States (2001). He is co-editor of Rethinking Social Inquiry (2004) which won the Sartori Award for best book on qualitative methods, Capturing Campaign Effects (2006), and the Handbook of Political Methodology (2008).

Brady has also authored numerous articles on political participation, political methodology, the dynamics of public opinion, and other topics.  He was elected a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts & Sciences in 2003 and a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in 2006.

Academic Subfields
American Politics
Comparative Politics
Methodology & Formal Theory
Models & Politics

Research Interests
Electoral Politics & Political Participation
Management Information Systems
Program Evaluation
Social Welfare Policy

Degrees
Ph.D., Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Source: Berkeley webpage

Web Links

ITDF Essay, November 2023

AI threatens to require society to redefine ‘what it means to be a person’ in the digital realm

Source: ITDF Webpage

The outcome by 2040 depends a great deal, if not entirely, upon the regulatory framework created around AI. If we just consider the Internet, there have certainly been areas where it has created enormous value:

1) Researchers could not live without it anymore – it has made enormous amounts of data and information available at their fingertips. 2) Consumers have greater choices and opportunities with online shopping, while costing local retailers their livelihoods. 3) Entertainment opportunities are much broader, easier to find and get and probably much more attuned to individual tastes, but at the cost of creating a property-rights problem for intellectual capital and artistic output. 4) Individuals can create businesses and other enterprises on their own on the web. 5) And so forth.

“However, along the way, we have ruined the independent and trusted press and eviscerated small retailers; we have created opportunities for factions to develop on the web, as divide-seeking groups such as white nationalists have found one another and found a forum for their activities; and the spread of low-friction, instantaneous global communications has raised many additional complex challenges. One of the primary concerns that is still on the rise is that marginalized populations have not seen anywhere near the benefits of highly educated people.

We have ruined the independent and trusted press and eviscerated small retailers; we have created opportunities for factions to develop on the web. … We will have increased the sense of disorientation and confusion already felt by many people living a ‘digital life.’ Anxiety and depression will increase. People will feel powerless and in the grip of forces they do not understand. Horror stories will proliferate about those who have been tricked by AI, dealt with unfairly by it and generally misled. Populist sympathies will increase as people worry about losing their unique role in society.

“These trends will be exacerbated by AI unless there are efforts to regulate it. I am worried that we will lose jobs, create greater toxicity in our communications and politics and further disadvantage marginalized populations. Yet, we are likely to also find that AI is tremendously useful for individualized teaching, for taking care of the elderly, in providing personal assistance to individuals at work and at home, for precision medicine, for discovery using vast amounts of text and information, for optimizing traffic in cities, for designing houses in conjunction with 3-D printing, and so forth.

“My bottom-line belief is that regulation will be too late and too little because politicians are ill-equipped to do anything, and they will always be behind given the complexity of the issues involved and the difficulties of overcoming partisan polarization. As a result:

  • We will have increased the sense of disorientation and confusion already felt by many people living a ‘digital life.’
  • Anxiety and depression will increase.
  • People will feel powerless and in the grip of forces they do not understand.
  • Horror stories will proliferate about those who have been tricked by AI, dealt with unfairly by it and generally misled.
  • Populist sympathies will increase as people worry about losing their unique role in society.

“If we think about the difficulties many people have regarding accepting evolution or gay people as human beings with rights, we can begin to imagine what will happen when they face the possibility that they might have to think of AI as ‘human.’ Religions will chime in about the ‘ghost’ or ‘devil’ in the machine.

“Most people are not ready to redefine, in this new digitally enabled realm, what it means to be a person, and AI threatens to require doing that. Hence, regulation – transparent and participatory regulation – is essential, but it requires a level of effort and innovation that I am not sure we are prepared to undertake.”

This essay was written in November 2023 in reply to the question: Considering likely changes due to the proliferation of AI in individuals’ lives and in social, economic and political systems, how will life have changed by 2040? This and more than 150 additional essay responses are included in the report “The Impact of Artificial Intelligence by 2040”

More Information

Wikipedia


Brady in 2015

Henry Eugene Brady is an American political scientist specializing in methodology and its application in a diverse array of political fields. He was Dean of the Goldman School of Public Policy at University of California, Berkeley from 2009–2021[1] and holds the Class of 1941 Monroe Deutsch Professor of Political Science and Public Policy. He was elected President of the American Political Science Association, 2009–2010, giving a presidential address entitled “The Art of Political Science: Spatial Diagrams as Iconic and Revelatory.”[2] He has published academic works on diverse topics, co-authoring with colleagues at a variety of institutions and ranks, as well as many solo authored works. His principal areas of research are on political behavior in the United States, Canada, and the former Soviet Union, public policy and methodological work on scaling and dimensional analysis. When he became President of the American Political Science Association, a number of his colleagues and co-authors contributed to his presidential biography entitled “Henry Brady, Big Scientist,” discussing his work and the fields to which he has contributed and has also shaped.[3]

Education and career

Brady attended Harvey Mudd College of the Claremont Colleges, graduating in 1969 with B.S. in mathematics and physics. He attended Union Theological Seminary for a year, assisted by a fellowship, then entered the doctoral program at Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He completed doctorates in both Economics and Political Science in 1980. He taught at University of California, Berkeley; Harvard University; University of Chicago; and returned to Berkeley in 1990.

At Berkeley, he has directed the Survey Research Center, January 1, 1999, to July 31, 2009.[4] The Survey Research Center conducted in-person, telephone, and self-administered surveys in the United States, and California in particular. Earlier he directed the University of California Data Archive and Technical Assistance (now D-Lab) from 1992 to 2009, and served on its governing board.[5] From 1988 to 1990, he was director of the University of Chicago, Center for the Study of Politics and Society, National Opinion Research Center (NORC).[6][7] He served on the editorial boards of a number of major journals in the field, including American Journal of Political Science, Evaluation Review, American Political Science Review, and Political Analysis.

From 2000 to 2008, Brady worked to improve voting systems in the U.S. through his writing and work on legal cases. His work on voting systems includes involvement with the 2000 presidential election in Florida, Butterfly Ballot Case,[8][9] and the 2003 efforts to get rid of punch card ballots, where he worked with the American Civil Liberties Union in California and Illinois to challenge their use.[10] In the 2003 California gubernatorial recall election Brady’s research on the punch card ballot was cited in the federal case seeking to postpone the special state election.[11][12] Brady published an account of his role in the punch card ballot case.[13]

Honors and awards

  • President, American Political Science Association, 2009–2010.[14]
  • Class of 1941 Monroe Deutsch Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, University of California, Berkeley. 2003 to present.
  • PROSE Award for Excellence in the Social Sciences, Association of American Publishers for The Unheavenly Chorus: Unequal Political Voice and the Broken Promise of American Democracy[15]
  • Society for Political Methodology, Career Achievement Award, 2012.[16]
  • American Association for Public Opinion Research book award for Voice and Equality, 2012.[17]
  • Society for Political Methodology Fellow, 2008.[18]
  • Converse award (2007) for book making lasting contribution for Voice and Equality, 2007.[19]
  • Elected fellow, American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2006.[20]
  • Giovanni Sartori Book Award, American Political Science Organization 2005 for Rethinking Social Inquiry: Diverse Tools, Shared Standards (2004), with David Collier, Rowman and Littlefield.[21]
  • Harold Gosnell Prize for the best work of Political Methodology presented at a political science conference in the previous year. APSA, 2004.[22]
  • Elected member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences[23]
  • Harold James Innis Prize 1992–1993 for Letting the People Decide: The Dynamics of a Canadian Election (September, 1992), with Richard Johnston, André Blais, and Jean Crête, Stanford University Press in the United States and McGill-Queens University Press in Canada the best book in English in Canada.[24]

Publications

Books

  • Unequal and Unrepresented: Political Inequality and the People’s Voice in the New Gilded Age (May 2018), Princeton University Press, with Kay Schlozman and Sidney Verba. ISBN 978-0-691-18055-7
  • The Unheavenly Chorus: Political Voice and the Promise of American Democracy (2012), Princeton University Press, with Kay Schlozman and Sidney Verba.ISBN 978-0-691-15986-7
  • Rethinking Social Inquiry: Diverse Tools, Shared Standards, 2nd Edition, (2010), with David Collier. Rowman and Littlefield. Reprinted in a Japanese Edition in 2014.
  • Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology (2008), Oxford University Press with Janet Box-Steffensmeir and David Collier (editors).ISBN 978-0-19-958556-4
  • Capturing Campaign Effects (2006), University of Michigan Press, co-editor with Richard Johnston.ISBN 978-0-472-06921-7
  • Rethinking Social Inquiry: Diverse Tools, Shared Standards (2004), with David Collier, Rowman and Littlefield. Winner of the 2005 Giovanni Sartori Best Book Award of the APSA Qualitative Methods Section. Republished in a Japanese edition, 2008.
  • Voice and Equality: Civic Voluntarism in American Politics (1995), with Kay Schlozman and Sidney Verba, Harvard University Press.
  • Letting the People Decide: The Dynamics of a Canadian Election (September, 1992), with Richard Johnston, André Blais, and Jean Crête, Stanford University Press in the United States and McGill-Queens University Press in Canada.ISBN 978-0-8047-2078-6 Winner of the Harold Adams Innis Award for the best book in the social sciences published in English in Canada in 1992–1993.[24]

Monographs

  • “Counting All The Votes: The Performance of Voting Technology in the United States” (2001), with Justin Buchler, Matt Jarvis, and John McNulty. Berkeley: Survey Research Center and Institute for Governmental Studies.
  • “Expensive Children in Poor Families: The Intersection of Childhood Disability and Welfare” (2000), with Marcia Meyers and Eva Seto. San Francisco: Public Policy Institute of California.ISBN 978-1-58213-055-2

Select articles, chapters, and reports

  • “Repeated Cross-Sections in Survey Data” 2015, with Richard Johnson, in Emerging Trends in the Social and Behavioral Sciences, Robert Scott and Stephen Kossyln (eds.), Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley and Sons.
  • “Political Mobility and Political Reproduction from Generation to Generation,” with Kay Schlozman and Sidney Verba, The Annals, December 2014.
  • “Do Two Research Cultures Imply Two Scientific Paradigms?” (2013), Comparative Political Studies, Volume 46:2, 252–265.
  • “Who Speaks? Citizen Political Voice on the Internet Commons,” (2011), Daedalus, Volume 140, Number 4, with Kay Schlozman and Sidney Verba.
  • “The Art of Political Science: Spatial Diagrams as Iconic and Revelatory” (June 2011), Perspectives on Politics, Volume 9, Number 2. Presidential Address to the American Political Science Association.
  • “Causation and Explanation in Social Science”, The Oxford Handbook of Political Science (2011) DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199604456.013.0049
  • “Turning Out to Vote: the Costs of Finding and Getting to the Polling Place” (2011), American Political Science Review, Volume 105, Number 1, February, pages 115–134, with John McNulty.
  • “Weapon of the Strong? Participatory Inequality and the Internet” (2010), Perspectives on Politics, Volume 8, Number 2, pages 487–510, with Kay Schlozman and Sidney Verba.
  • “Political Methodology: Post-Behavioral Movements and Trends,” 2009, Chapter 48 in Robert Goodin, Handbook of Political Science, Oxford University Press, with Janet Box-Steffensmeier and David Collier. (A completely revised version of the introduction to the Handbook of Political Methodology).
  • “Conceptualizing and Measuring Political Identity” (2009), Chapter 2 in Rawi Abdelal, Yoshiko Herrera, Alastair Iain Johnston, and Rose McDermott, Measuring Identity: A Guide for Social Scientists, Cambridge University Press, with Cynthia Kaplan.
  • “An Analytical Perspective on Participatory Inequality and Income Inequality” (2004) in Kathryn Neckerman (ed.), Social Inequality, New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
  • “Refocusing the Discussion of Methodology” (2004) in Henry Eugene Brady and David Collier (eds.), Rethinking Social Inquiry: Diverse Tools, Shared Standards, Rowman and Littlefield, with David Collier and Jason Seawright pp. 3–20.
  • “Defining Welfare Spells,” (2003), Evaluation Review, Volume 27, Number 4:395–420. with Samantha Luks.
  • “The Rolling Cross Section Design,” (2001), Electoral Studies, 21(2):283–295.with Richard Johnston. Reprinted in Mark N. Franklin and Christopher Wlezien (eds.), The Future of Election Studies, Pergamon Press, 2002.
  • “Law and Data: The Case of the Butterfly Ballot” (2001). PS: Political Science and Politics, 33(4):59–69. American Political Science Association. March, with Michael C. Herron, Walter R. Mebane Jr., Jasjeet Sekhon, Kenneth W. Shotts, and Jonathan Wand.
  • “The Butterfly Did It: The Aberrant Vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach County, Florida.” (2001), American Political Science Review, Volume 95, Number 4, December, pages 793–810, with Michael C. Herron, Walter R. Mebane Jr., Jasjeet Sekhon, Kenneth W. Shotts, and Jonathan N. Wand.
  • “Trust the People: Political Party Coalitions and the 2000 Election,” (2001) in Jack Rakove (ed.), The Unfinished Election of 2000: Leading Scholars Examine America’s Strangest Election, New York: Basic Books.
  • “Categorically Wrong? Nominal Versus Graded Measures of Ethnic Identity,” (2001), Studies in Comparative International Development, Volume 35, Number 3, pages 56–91, with Cynthia Kaplan.
  • “Subjects to Citizens: From Non-Voting, to Protesting, to Voting in Estonia During the Transition to Democracy” (2001), Journal of Baltic Studies, Volume 32, Number 4, pages 347–378, with Cynthia Kaplan.
  • “Conceptualizing and Measuring Political Participation” (1999) John P. Robinson, Phillip R. Shaver, Lawrence S. Wrightsman (eds.), Measures of Political Attitudes, Academic Press.
  • “Prospecting for Participants: Rational Expectations and the Recruitment of Political Activists” (1999) American Political Science Review, March pp. 153–168. with Kay Schlozman and Sidney Verba.
  • “The Populist Right in Canada: The Rise of the Reform Party of Canada,” (1998) in Hans-Georg Betz and Stefan Immerfall, The New Politics of the Right: Neo-Populist Parties and Movements in Established Democracies, St. Martin’s Press: New York with Neil Nevitte, Andre Blais, Elisabeth Gidengil, and Richard Johnston.
  • “Knowledge, Strategy, and Momentum in Presidential Primaries,” (1996) Political Analysis, Volume 5, 1–38. University of Michigan: Ann Arbor.
  • “Beyond SES: A resource model of political participation” with S Verba, KL Schlozman. American Political Science Review, (1995) vol. 89 (2) pp. 271–294.
  • “Participation’s Not a Paradox: The View from American Activists”, British Journal of Political Science, (1995) 25(1), 1–36. With K. Scholozman and S. Verba doi:10.1017/S0007123400007043
  • “Traits versus Issues: Factor versus Ideal Point Analysis of Candidate Thermometer Ratings” (1991), Political Analysis, 2:97–129.
  • “The Dimensional Analysis of Ranking Data” (1990), American Journal of Political Science, 34(3):1017–1048.
  • “The Nature of Utility Functions in Mass Publics” (1989) with Stephen Ansolabehere, American Political Science Review, 82(4):143–163.
  • “Factor and Ideal Point Analysis for Interpersonally Incomparable Data” (1989), Psychometrika, 50(4):509–537.
  • “What’s the Primary Message: Horse Race or Issue Journalism” (1987) with Richard Johnston in Gary Orren and Nelson Polsby (eds.), Media and Momentum.
  • “Conventions versus Primaries: A Canadian American Comparison” (1986) with Richard Johnston in George Perlin (ed.), Party Democracy: The Politics of National Party Conventions. Toronto: Prentice Hall.
  • “Attitude Attribution” (1985) with Paul Sniderman, American Political Science Review, Volume 79, Number 4 pp. 1061–1078.
  • “The Perils of Survey Research: Interpersonally Incomparable Responses” (1985), Political Methodology, 11.(3–4):269–291.
  • “Statistical Consistency and Hypothesis Testing for Non Metric Multidimensional Scaling” (1985), Psychometrika, Volume 50, Number 4.

References

  1. ^ “Henry Eugene Brady”. Goldman School of Public Policy, UC Berkeley. Retrieved 30 January 2024.
  2. ^ Brady, Henry Eugene (June 2011). “The Art of Political Science: Spatial Diagrams as Iconic and Revelatory”. Perspectives on Politics. 9 (2): 311–331. doi:10.1017/S1537592711000922. S2CID 14533090.
  3. ^ Bartels, Larry M.; Johnston, Richard; Kaplan, Cynthia S. & Meyers, Marcia K. (October 2009). “Henry Brady, Big Scientist”. PS: Political Science & Politics. 42 (4): 793–798. doi:10.1017/S1049096509990412. S2CID 154595209.
  4. ^ “The 50th Anniversary of the Survey Research Center”. Survey Research Center, UC Berkeley. March 5, 2009. Archived from the original on 2011-07-27. Retrieved 6 June 2018.
  5. ^ “Governing board”. D-Lab, UC Berkeley. Archived from the original on 2018-06-16. Retrieved 6 June 2018.
  6. ^ “Center for the Study of Politics and Society”. University of Chicago. Retrieved 6 June 2018.
  7. ^ “Institutes & Centers”. University of Chicago.
  8. ^ Brady, Henry Eugene; Herron, Michael C.; Walter R., Jr., Mebane; Sekhon, Jasjeet; Shotts, Kenneth W. & Wand, Jonathan (March 2001). “Law and Data: The Butterfly Ballot Episode” (PDF). PS: Political Science and Politics. 33 (4): 59–69. doi:10.1017/S1049096501000099. S2CID 153357034.
  9. ^ Brady, Henry Eugene; Herron, Michael C.; Walter R., Jr., Mebane; Sekhon, Jasjeet; Shotts, Kenneth W. & Wand, Jonathan N. (December 2001). “The Butterfly Did It: The Aberrant Vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach County, Florida”. American Political Science Review. 95 (4): 793–810. doi:10.1017/S000305540040002X. S2CID 12182778.
  10. ^ “Federal Court Grants ACLU Victory In Punch-Card Voting Case”. ACLU of Southern California. February 13, 2002.
  11. ^ “Southwest Voter Registration Education Project v. Shelley”. Google Scholar. September 23, 2003.
  12. ^ Feeney, Floyd (2008). “The 2003 California Gubernatorial Recall” (PDF). Creighton Law Review. 41 (1): 37–92.
  13. ^ Brady, Henry Eugene (January 2004). “Postponing the California Recall to Protect Voting Rights”. PS: Political Science and Politics. 37 (1): 27–32. doi:10.1017/S1049096504003579. JSTOR 4488757. S2CID 153813192.
  14. ^ “Presidents of the American Political Science Association”. APSA.
  15. ^ “2012 Winners”. PROSE Award. Retrieved 6 June 2018.
  16. ^ “Society of Political Methodology Career Achievement Awards”. Cambridge University. Retrieved 6 June 2018.
  17. ^ “Past Book Award Winners”. American Association for Public Opinion Research. Retrieved 16 June 2018.
  18. ^ “Society for Political Methodology Fellows”. Cambridge University. Retrieved 6 June 2018.
  19. ^ “Organized Sections Distribute Awards at 2007 Annual Meeting”. PS: Political Science and Politics. 40 (4): 828–836. October 2007. doi:10.1017/S1049096507381316. JSTOR 20452084. S2CID 233337341. Retrieved 14 June 2018.
  20. ^ “AAAS Annual Election: Preliminary Announcement”. AAAS.
  21. ^ “Giovanni Sartori Book Award”. APSA. Retrieved 5 June 2018.
  22. ^ “Harold F. Gosnell Prize”. APSA. Retrieved 6 June 2018.
  23. ^ “Elected Fellows”. American Association for the Advancement of Science. Retrieved 16 June 2018.
  24. ^ a b “Archives: Canada Prizes”. Ideas/Idees. Archived from the original on 2017-03-21. Retrieved 5 June 2018.


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